Objective

Model the evolution of the forward curve, using a specialized computational tool to assess the optimal energy trading strategy, modeling market conditions in a representative way and weighing the risks in each decision, in an hourly PLD scenario.

Scope

• Development of a decision support model that allows the definition of an optimal strategy for the sale of electricity in the short, medium and long terms
• Creation of a model for evaluating contract negotiation, Business Plan, in a 5-year horizon, in an hourly PLD scenario

Expected results

• Modeling to forecast ENAs (Affluent Natural Energy) and prices
• Modeling to forecast the premium in the price of short-term contracts
• Bilateral contract pricing parameterization modeling
• Static balance system modeling
• Modeling tariffs projection in the regulated market
• Pricing modeling of bilateral contracts
• Stochastic contracts

Total investment in the project: BRL 2,438,061.00
MRTS and FDTE (contracted)
Duration: 2 years